Who Profited From Oil Prices?

Who Profited From Oil Prices?
After falling 77% in less than six months—from a record high of $147 a barrel in July to $33 in December—oil prices are edging back up. But while the market is known for its volatility, we’re unlikely to return to $4-per-gallon gas anytime soon. “The fall in oil prices was a sort of de facto tax cut—an automatic stimulus package,” says energy analyst Daniel Yergin. The price drop—caused mainly by a worldwide decrease in demand—created both winners and losers.      

WINNERS 

WHO: Consumers 
WHY: A $2-per-gallon drop in the price of gas saves American motorists $282 billion a year, and lower oil prices translate into cheaper food and consumer goods for everyone. 

WHO: Commodity traders 
WHY: Hedge-fund managers who “shorted” oil—bet that the price of oil would plummet—s tand to make millions from the collapse. 

LOSERS 

WHO: OPEC and other oil-rich countries 
WHY: Oil money keeps their economies running and governments stable. 
WHAT’S NEXT: Declining oil revenue could cause political and economic turbulence in Venezuela, Russia, Iran, and other oil-rich nations. OPEC is cutting production in an attempt to stabilize prices.      

WHO: Green technology 
WHY: Cheaper gas makes solar and wind power less appealing. 
WHAT’S NEXT: T. Boone Pickens’ green-tech fund posted a loss of more than $1 billion. But public funding for energy research will continue. 

WHO: Oil-dependent U.S. states 
WHY: Oil revenues fund government projects and services. 
WHAT’S NEXT: Alaska predicts a 7% drop in oil revenues. Louisiana projects a budget shortfall of $2 billion by fiscal year 2010. 

WHO: Oil companies 
WHY: Budgets are based on oil priced around $60 a barrel. Recently, the price was about half that. 
WHAT’S NEXT: The major companies—ExxonMobil, Shell, BP—will have lower profits but will weather the storm. However, many independent drillers, with tight credit and thin profit margins, may go bust. 

— Rebecca Davis O’Brien 

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Comments

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